NOAA Forecasts a Highly Active Hurricane Season

Hurricane Dorian Climate Change

The NOAA has issued a forecast that anticipates a highly active hurricane season. This is easy to understand, as Isaias became the earliest storm in history to receive the ninth name of the season. Storms are occurring with greater frequency and intensity in recent years than ever before. The NOAA is now predicting between 19 and 25 named storms to form this year. Among them, they predict that twelve will be hurricanes.

However, this isn’t the only odd news from the organization. Between three and six of the hurricanes that are predicted by the NOAA are likely to be “major” hurricanes. As such, 2020 could go down as one of the most active hurricane seasons in history.

NOAA Issues Alarming Warning

“This year, we expect more, stronger, and longer-lived storms than average, and our predicted ACE range extends well above NOAA’s threshold for an extremely active season,” stated Gerry Bell, a lead researcher with the NOAA.

The number of storms predicted is alarming because it’s nearly double the average from the last several years. Typically, around 13 named storms develop each year. The last time this many storms were recorded in a single year was in 2005, when a record-breaking 28 storms were named. This was a bizarre occurrence, and required the NOAA to get creative with naming.

Naming Question

This incredibly active hurricane season means that the storms could burn through all twenty-two letters of the NOAA’s A to W naming convention. Thus, raising a question about the naming of the storms after the twenty-second. The NOAA has an answer ready: they’ll use the letters of the Greek alphabet to generate names for storms from 22 on.

The only other this occurred was in 2005. Hurricanes Alpha through Zeta occurred late in the hurricane season in 2005. All of the storms in that season were the first to be issued those names. Should that occur again this year, the storms will be designated by both a Greek letter and the year. In such cases, the hurricane would be named Hurricane (or Tropical Storm) Alpha 2020, and so on,

Why So Much Activity?

The question of why there is so much hurricane activity this year is a pressing one. 2020 has already been a bizarre and trying year for the world at large. It only holds that when it rains it pours, so to speak. Scientifically, meteorologists believe the increased storm activity is likely tied to global climate change. The warming waters of the Atlantic are particularly good at spawning massive storms.

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Written by
Jeremy Liu

Jeremy Liu has always been fascinated by extreme weather—but he prefers to write about the world’s deadliest storms from the safety and comfort of his home office. He’s much less likely to get hit with a flying cow that way. (And yes, Jeremy’s favorite movie is Twister.)

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Written by Jeremy Liu