This year has already seen one of the most unprecedented hurricane seasons of all time. Now, new developments over the Caribbean have meteorologists’ attention. Further storms could develop in the region, threatening to push the 2020 hurricane season beyond the historic 2005 hurricane season in terms of the numbers of named storms.
Currently, meteorologists are tracking a disturbed pattern of weather over the Northwest Caribbean. This pattern is moving to the west and could develop into another tropical storm given favorable conditions.
The storm could gain power and become a named storm as early as this weekend if it picks up steam. It is currently moving towards the Gulf of Mexico and could impact Cancun and La Ceiba.
Disturbance over the Caribbean
The Caribbean disturbance would become the 24th named storm of this hurricane season if it developed into a tropical storm. It would likely be given the name Gamma, unless another storm claims that name first by developing in a shorter time period.
Due to the frequency of storms this season, the NOAA ran out of pre-generated alphabetic names and has reverted to the Greek alphabet.
By October, areas of development for tropical storms tend to be in the Gulf of Mexico. This is because the changing season forces cool air over the Gulf from the north, while warm air from the south mixes with it and creates conditions that can spawn storms.
Likewise, similar conditions can arise over the Western Atlantic, leading to late-season storms that can surprise the East Coast.
Late Season Developments
The 2020 hurricane season is past what is historically the peak of hurricane activity in the Atlantic region. By October, historically, the storms that develop tend to be smaller and less intense than those that form in the summer.
That being said, late-season storms can still have major impacts if they make landfall in regions that aren’t expecting them.
Officially, the hurricane season won’t actually be over until the end of November. This means that there are still at least two months to go of the official hurricane season. If history is any indicator, there are likely more storms on the way. This has already been a packed hurricane season, and there’s no reason to expect that to slow down now.
People who live near the Gulf Coast or on the East Coast need to remain vigilant, as more storms are likely to develop before the end of November. Should they form, heed any weather warnings from your local authorities.